Industry Comment

The forest industry, much like the agriculture industry, runs in cycles reflective of a number of variables. These variables are mostly market driven such as labour market conditions, land prices, and log prices. The East Coast Forest Industry is currently in a state of depression, as it is in the rest of the country.

Most of the contributing factors for this current downturn are beyond the control of forest owners, managers and processors. One such factor is the low log prices we are currently experiencing as a result of the strength of the New Zealand dollar.

New forest plantings are down also this season. Locally, Juken Nissho Ltd. is the only company with a large planting programme of new forests, with the remainder of forest plantings being second rotation. With farming enjoying a bit of “time in the sun” and land prices on the increase, this is not surprising.

The local silviculture market condition is also looking weaker, with many company’s programmes on the decrease, resulting in an over-supply in the labour market. For the forest owner and manager this is not a bad thing, as this has induced a natural attrition which has increased the overall calibre of contractors in the market. This should in turn give managers better value for money.

The same can be said for harvesting crews. Chinese based Huaguang Forests Company Ltd. (HFL), with the regions largest harvesting programme, has reduced its harvest production significantly. However, the downfall in log prices this is not an incentive for growers to increase harvest production due to the availability of harvest crews. In fact, many owners are putting their harvesting on hold till log prices are more favourable, thus exacerbating the situation.

Recent poor publicity about the regions largest grower, HFL, has initiated a negative public perception of the industry. This situation is frustrating for the other forest companies in the region, and it is saddening that the industry is judged by one performer.

However, despite the grim conditions we are currently facing, the industry remains strong with Kohntrol Forest Services Ltd. remaining at the forefront of forest management solutions in the East Coast region.

 

Capital Rating

The Gisborne District Council decided recently to move in line with a number of other councils throughout the country and introduce a Capital Rating system for all rateable land in the district. For forestry they believed this would effectively reduce rates for forest owners.

Unfortunately they also decided to introduce a roading weighting for forest rates of 4 times. This is considerably higher than any other roading weighting, such as farming which has been set at 1.5. In addition to this, individual forest lot owners would each be charged the $380 utilities surcharge, rather than paying a share of the charge over the entire estate.

Chairman of the Eastalnd Wood Council (EWC) Julian Kohn said “despite significant lobbying by EWC we were unable to persuade the council to reduce the weighting. They argued that forestry caused more wear and tear on roads than any other user. The group was able to provide reports and evidence to the contrary but this held no weight with the committee”.

As a result the EWC has decided to look at applying for a judicial review on the grounds that due process was not undertaken. The group is currently seeking a legal opinion on this and will make a decision within the next few weeks.

The council has asked to meet with EWC to discuss the issue in more detail. They are hopeful that the decision can be reversed for next years rating round.

CARBON CREDITS:
Facts About the New Zealand governments Kyoto Policy and how it affects forestry - Kyoto Forestry Association Newsletter August 2005

Large forest investment has virtually stopped in the country. partly as a result of the Carbon Credit issue.

About half of the countries carbon emissions come from the farming sector but the government is not proposing to charge for these increased emissions. If each large Dairy herd owner planted one hectare of trees each year that would absorb enough CO2 to offset the herds methane emissions.

New Zealand wood products will receive price subsidies supplied by the Carbon Credits from the forests.

A hectare of new forest harvested and replanted in perpetuity is enough to absorb over 40 tonnes of carbon dioxide. A half hectare is enough to compensate for a lifetime of driving.

Successive governments were relying on planting rates of 40,000-50,000 hectares per annum to satisfy their Kyoto obligations. Planting was less than 10,000 hectares in 2004 and does not look like increasing in the near future.

The Amazon rain forest was deforested at a rate of 9 football fields or 5 hectares per hour for the 12 months ending August 2004. The governments Kyoto policy is preventing new planting at a rate of 5 hectares per hour.

Forestry prevents soil erosion and helps maintain water quality. More native bird species are found in Kaingaroa forest than in any other forest in New Zealand.

We have seen the value of the Carbon Credits go from NZ$7.50 two years ago to NZ$39.00 currently.

Australia has not ratified the Kyoto protocol yet  Carbon Credits from their forests are selling well.

If credits were devolved as was intended then we could have expected to see planting rates in excess of 50,000 hectares per annum until the end of the CPI in 2012. That is 500,000 hectares more of Kyoto forest worth around NZ$2.5 billion in forest carbon sinks.


National Harvesting Levels

New Zealand’s log harvest has tripled in the last 30 years, from 5 million cubic metres in 1968 to over 17 million cubic metres in 2000. Further increases are predicted with an annual harvest reaching 30 million cubic metres by 2010. Almost all of this is attributable to plantation forests.

(Source: MAF ForestryFacts and Figures’)

 


Market Update

Export log markets are not looking particularly good at present, mostly due to the stronger New Zealand dollar and high shipping rates. China is looking to be in best shape; however their interests in the industrial and pulp section of the market aren’t rubbing off on the more valuable log grades.

The same can be said for Korea in that the strong $NZ and shipping rates are dropping the prices, although the Korean market is relatively strong, there is some indication that prices may fall further.

Of all export grades, A and J grades have dropped the least, and the Japanese market is holding steady. Higher than usual interest in J grade logs, used for plywood manufacture, in Japan has resulted due to Russian supply problems, which may result in some growth.

The demand in the US timber market for New Zealand radiata mouldings is still falling due to cheaper supply from South America; however the strengthening Brazilian Real may turn this around.

The domestic market is looking very sad at present, with mills closing and staff being laid off. Pruned log prices continue to fall, resulting in less harvesting due to poor returns. domestic unpruned logs are faring better than their exports counterparts; however, prices are under pressure. Overall, the market is weak at the moment, with export markets bottomed out and domestic prices falling.


Prices from the Year 2006

(These prices are from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF) See Links for Web site Address)
 

1st Quarter and 12-Quarter Average

As at: May 2006

Generic Log Type & Pricing Point March 2006
Quarter

12-quarter
average 

EXPORT (NZ$ per JAS m3 f.o.b.)
Pruned 128 -200 175
Unpruned A Grade 70 - 99 88
Unpruned J Grade 76 - 87 75
Unpruned K Grade 65 - 86 74
Pulp 48 - 64 50
DOMESTIC (NZ$ per tonne delivered at mill)
P1 123 -140 148
P2 90 -129 118
S1 80 - 92 86
S2 63 - 89 78
L1 and L2 51 - 67 60
S3 and L3 48 - 73 61
Pulp 38 - 51 40

r = revised                                                         n/a = not available

                                      


The “Sumo”; Forest Transport Ingenuity

James Couper (Clearwood Forestry, seated) and Dean Moorcroft with James’ new Sumo (Photo courtesy of Paul Rickard, Gisborne Herald).

Around four years ago Occupational Safety and Health (OSH) outlawed the use of ATV’s (4-wheelers) for forest crew transport as they are prone to accidents when overloaded. They also came with high maintenance bills due to the excessive stress placed on them.

While most contractors answered this by using “track-trucks” such as 4X4 Hilux’s with tractor tyres, Dean Moorcroft, managing director of Probush Services Ltd., engineered a purpose built vehicle to transport workers and their equipment safely within the forest. Dean has been contracting in the silviculture industry for eight years, and like many contractors at the time he was using ATV’s for transport.

Working in forests at an early stage of their life-cycle meant that many of the access-ways used are basic dirt tracks, prone to weathering and subsequent deterioration (hence the suitability of ATV’s). Using the running gear and chassis of a Suzuki 413 4X4, Dean built an eight seater with a simple roll frame, and the light weight “Sumo” could tackle deteriorated tracks with ease.

The 4X4 utes that many contractors use tend to have most of the weight on the back axle, causing excess wear and tear on both machine and track. The design of the Sumo means that the weight is carried evenly over all four wheels, giving increased traction and better handling without damaging tracks as much.

Dean has built five Sumo’s so far, and is currently filling orders for three more. With 650 hours to build one, they come with a price tag of $25,000-$30,000, depending on additional extras. However there are savings when it comes to maintenance as they are less prone to damage than track trucks.

Although the Sumo was initially designed for forest crew transport, they are of a versatile design, and can be adapted for use in tourism, hunting, fire-fighting, recreation and farming.

 

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